Orbit: Crypto Community Feed

Doing business and trading in the crypto world, the most important thing is to always stay active in the market

Yesterday $BTC rose from 82,000 to 85,000, and the bulls went crazy But many people don't know why it rose? They just think it's the market $BTC rose because of the capital inflow from the spot ETF The single-day inflow reached: $999 million, the highest in 8 months Plus the short squeeze, large short positions were forcibly liquidated On the 21st alone, hundreds of millions in short positions were liquidated, so scary! Why hasn't this upward trend continued now? US Treasury yields remain high, the highest since 2007 The trend is broken, now it's endless sideways movement or decline #BTC现货ETF连续6日吸金超28亿美元

Exchange BTC reserves have dropped to about 2.7 million coins, approaching historical lows. Binance's reserves decreased by about 16,000 coins within a week, with outflows reaching the highest level since 2023. High-net-worth whales and retail investors are simultaneously increasing their holdings, with single order sizes around 798 BTC, and spot chips continue to concentrate among long-term holders. Macro pressure remains: the 10-year US Treasury yield intraday hit 5.18%, a new high since 2007, with funds tilting towards fixed income assets, continuously suppressing BTC. CME FedWatch shows the probability of a rate hike in October has risen to about 75%. Thought process reference: On-chain is bullish, macro is bearish; short-term direction depends on the breakout choice within the $83,400–$84,850 range. A volume breakout and hold above $84,850 will continue the trend; falling below $83,400 will deepen the correction. Fluctuations within the range are noise; wait for confirmation signals before acting—do not chase or rush.

Got lured into a pump again Still went long at the peak Who knows the dog whale's position Send some local specialties over Yesterday I saw ONE rally from 0.0014 to 0.0027 Almost doubled I got impulsive and chased in Currently floating a loss of 14.59% This dog whale really knows how to play Pump once Attract the momentum traders Then dump and crash the price After cutting once, pump again Cut again Back and forth cutting We retail investors are just meat on the chopping block But this time I didn't panic 2x leverage Liquidation price at 0.0013 Still far away No rush to cut losses MA10 at 0.00228 MA20 at 0.0022 As long as these two levels hold There’s still hope for a rebound If broken Then accept the loss and leave That's how meme coins are They pump crazily And crash hard too I chased high I admit it But I won’t sell at the lowest point Wait for it to rebound When it rebounds to 0.0025-0.0026, I’ll exit Just break even No greed Never chase meme coins high again Really Learned this lesson too many times Who knows the dog whale Help me send some local specialties Sincerely grateful $ONE $BTC $ETH #BTC现货ETF连续6日吸金超28亿美元 #美债长端利率持续攀升，融资压力升温 #Strategy提议为优先股发放每日股息

I estimate it will still drop, but I'll keep holding on! I never want to make small profits and big losses again! --- ONE surged from 0.00175 straight up to 0.00270, then dropped back to 0.00231. I opened a short position around 0.00250, currently floating with +3.22% profit. Although it's not much, this time I'm determined not to exit! 📊 Market analysis: On the 15-minute chart, the high at 0.002706 has been confirmed, and the moving averages are starting to turn downward. MA5 (0.00229) and MA10 (0.00228) form short-term resistance, with the price struggling repeatedly around 0.00231. Above, 0.00240-0.00250 is all trapped positions, weak in rebound; below, 0.00215 is short-term support. I've decided to hold on, no more small profits and big losses! I used to take profits quickly and hold on stubbornly when losing. This time it's reversed—if the direction is right, hold on and let profits run. The first target is 0.00215; if it breaks below, then look at 0.00200. No small gains, only big ones. This time I will never make small profits and big losses again! Holding the short position, watching it drop to 0.00215. Control your hands, let the profits fly for a while! $ONE $ETH $BTC #美债长端利率持续攀升，融资压力升温 #特朗普据悉拒绝7天方案，霍尔木兹重开再生变

Everyone was waiting to see the joke of $BEAT going to zero, but today's trend shows it’s actually the most resilient! It surged directly by 23 points, with the current price stubbornly holding at 0.11214. On the 15-minute chart, that big bullish candle shot up, MACD formed a golden cross upwards, and the Bollinger Bands opened wide—this bullish counterattack is very determined. Those who were shouting "Run, it’s going to zero" just a few days ago are probably left dumbfounded now. Judging by the volume surge and rally momentum, it really feels like a return to the peak, a king’s comeback. Although the longer-term view shows a brutal drop earlier, today’s explosive power has completely vented the long-held frustration. Brothers holding the chips have finally seen the light at the end of the tunnel, but after such a surge, a shakeout is very likely. Those who haven’t gotten on board yet shouldn’t rush to chase the high and catch a falling knife. Anyway, today’s "most resilient" script for BEAT is truly impressive! 🚀 $BTC $ETH #BTC现货ETF连续6日吸金超28亿美元 #美债长端利率持续攀升，融资压力升温 #特朗普据悉拒绝7天方案，霍尔木兹重开再生变

Green Mao opened five short positions tonight, but actually only bet correctly on one thing. The reverse navigator has entered the market again. Five positions, three coins, all shorts. Currently, the floating profit on the account is over 4,000 U, but if you break down the three coins, they are completely three different stories. $ZEC: The only one that fell, and also Green Mao's profit source. It dropped from 1553 / 1591 to 1534, with two positions earning a total of 2825 U, accounting for 67% of the total profit. $ETH: Not a drop, but grinding. Opened at 2694 and went to 2686, 100x leverage eating an 8-dollar drop, earning patience money. Also, he opened two trades, one at 2694 and one at 2711—this is not about judging direction, but averaging cost within a range. $BTC: The only losing one, and the only fatal one. Opened short at 83976, now at 84100. With 100x leverage, if it rises about 1% more, this position will be gone. Opening a long-short position in the middle is not analysis, it's coin flipping. And he happened to give the highest leverage and the most awkward position to the strongest coin. He is the reverse navigator. This is what he said himself, not me. I'll give a verifiable judgment: If BTC does not break 84800 tonight, I'll delete this; if it breaks, I'll keep it. #BTC现货ETF连续6日吸金超28亿美元 #美债长端利率持续攀升，融资压力升温 #特朗普据悉拒绝7天方案，霍尔木兹重开再生变

I am the mid-term intelligence guy. This wave of $BTC intelligence shows a coexistence of obvious institutional bulls and hidden macro risks. Positive factors: Spot ETF weekly inflow is 2.39 billion, with BlackRock IBIT alone taking 1.35 billion, directly offsetting this year's deficit; the White House is pushing strategic reserve legislation, combined with 81% of chips unmoved for half a year and institutions rebalancing by adding positions, the mid-term base holdings are very stable. USDC on BTC and quantum security costs have greatly decreased, and the ecosystem is also being strengthened. Challenges: Macro is the biggest hidden risk, FedWatch reprices rate hikes, US Treasury yields break 5.1%, liquidity is under pressure; German tax reform, quantum computing threats, old bulls unloading 380 million dollars of chips from 2016, and the biggest options pain points at 72,000-75,000 create short-term shakeout risks. Intelligence guy's perspective: Long-term optimistic, hold the mid-term base positions, buy on dips. $ETH $DOGE #BTC现货ETF连续6日吸金超28亿美元

$BTC Trend Structure Analysis From the recent trend, Bitcoin surged to around $87,401 on September 21, marking a recent phase high. However, it failed to hold above that level and the price retreated to fluctuate near $84,000. The current trend can be understood as: a short-term surge followed by a correction and consolidation. Over the past 7 days, Bitcoin has still risen about 3.46%, indicating some strength in this rebound; but in the last two days, the price has repeatedly oscillated between $84,000 and $85,200, showing weakened upward momentum. Bull and Bear Power Assessment Current market sentiment is Greed at 74, indicating a relatively high short-term risk appetite. The bull-to-bear ratio is 1.24, with bulls still dominant. However, it should be noted that the price retreat from around $87,400 indicates selling pressure and profit-taking above. If the price cannot reclaim above $85,000 in the short term, the market may continue to consolidate with sideways movement. Spot Bitcoin ETF Capital Inflows Recently, the US spot Bitcoin ETF has seen continuous capital inflows, with institutional demand picking up, which supports the price. Currently, for long positions, trade small sizes and add on dips in the short term, and reduce positions on rallies. The above is personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. $ETH $ZEC #BTC现货ETF连续6日吸金超28亿美元 #美债长端利率持续攀升，融资压力升温 #Aave支持代币化美股抵押借USDC

"Buy new, not old" might be the biggest scam playing altcoins in the next bull market. What truly deserves attention may not be new stories, but established projects that have undergone multiple cycles of bull and bear markets, with products and ecosystems continuously maturing. The key this round is: whether the value accumulated over the past few years can truly be realized through tokens. Personal focus: AAVE - veteran DeFi lending, watch for buybacks; NEAR - AI + Agent + cross-chain; LINK - leading oracle, benefiting from RWA; $SUI - high-performance public chain, focus on ecosystem growth; ONDO - core player in RWA; ENA - leading synthetic USD; UNI - leading DEX, focus on value capture; $ZEC - veteran project in privacy sector; $ARB - Ethereum L2; INJ - on-chain financial infrastructure; RAY - core DEX on Solana Being established doesn't mean no opportunity; the key is whether fundamentals can be re-priced.